Here we list opinion polls for the 2024 US Presidential election for the state of Pennsylvania. Opinion polling for US Presidential elections is often between hypothetical candidates initially, then between the main presidential candidates closer towards the election. We aim to keep this page as up to date as possible.
| Last Day of Field Work |
Source | Sample Size |
Margin of Error |
d harris |
r trump |
others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | Trafalgar Group | 1,082 | ± 2.9% | 45 | 47 | 8 | 2 |
| 29 Aug 2024 | Wick Insights | 1,607 | - | 49 | 49 | 2 | Tie |
| 28 Aug 2024 | Emerson College | 950 | ± 3.1% | 48 | 48 | 4 | Tie |
| 28 Aug 2024 | Emerson College | 950 | ± 3.1% | 49 | 49 | 1 | Tie |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 803 | ± 4.0% | 51 | 47 | 2 | 4 |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 758 | ± 3.0% | 51 | 48 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 Aug 2024 | SoCal Strategies | 713 | - | 47 | 48 | 5 | 1 |
| 23 Aug 2024 | SoCal Strategies | 800 | - | 47 | 47 | 6 | Tie |
| 22 Aug 2024 | ActiVote | 400 | ± 4.9% | 51 | 49 | - | 2 |
| 21 Aug 2024 | Fabrizio Ward | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46 | 47 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 Aug 2024 | Spry Strategies | 600 | ± 4.0% | 48 | 47 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 Aug 2024 | InsiderAdvantage | 800 | ± 3.5% | 46 | 47 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Rasmussen Reports | 1,312 | ± 3.0% | 46 | 47 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Focaldata | 719 | ± 3.7% | 50 | 50 | - | Tie |
| 15 Aug 2024 | Cygnal | 800 | ± 3.4% | 48 | 47 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 Aug 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 48 | 49 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 Aug 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 49 | 51 | - | 2 |
| 12 Aug 2024 | Quinnipiac University | 1,738 | ± 2.4% | 50 | 47 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 Aug 2024 | The Bullfinch Group | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49 | 45 | 6 | 4 |
| 09 Aug 2024 | New York Times/Siena College | 693 | ± 4.2% | 49 | 46 | 5 | 3 |
| 09 Aug 2024 | New York Times/Siena College | 693 | ± 4.2% | 50 | 46 | 4 | 4 |
| 08 Aug 2024 | Trafalgar Group | 1,078 | ± 2.9% | 44 | 46 | 10 | 2 |
| 08 Aug 2024 | Navigator Research | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46 | 48 | 6 | 2 |
| 08 Aug 2024 | Cook Political Report/BSG/GS Strategy Group | 411 | - | 49 | 48 | 3 | 1 |
| 01 Aug 2024 | Fabrizio Lee & Associates | 600 | - | 48 | 48 | 4 | Tie |
| 30 Jul 2024 | Public Policy Polling | 627 | ± 3.9% | 47 | 48 | 5 | 1 |
| 30 Jul 2024 | GQR Research | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50 | 46 | 4 | 4 |
| 29 Jul 2024 | Public Opinion Strategies | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48 | 45 | 7 | 3 |
| 28 Jul 2024 | Quantus Polls and News | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46 | 48 | 6 | 2 |
| 28 Jul 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 804 | ± 4.0% | 46 | 50 | 4 | 4 |
| 25 Jul 2024 | The Bullfinch Group | 800 | ± 3.5% | 48 | 47 | 5 | 1 |
| 24 Jul 2024 | Fox News | 1,034 | ± 3.0% | 49 | 49 | 2 | Tie |
| 23 Jul 2024 | Emerson College | 850 | ± 3.3% | 46 | 48 | 6 | 2 |
| 23 Jul 2024 | Emerson College | 850 | ± 3.3% | 49 | 51 | - | 2 |
| 23 Jul 2024 | North Star Opinion Research | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45 | 47 | 9 | 2 |
| 21 Jul 2024 | SoCal Strategies | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46 | 50 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 Jul 2024 | InsiderAdvantage | 800 | ± 3.5% | 40 | 47 | 13 | 7 |
| 12 Jul 2024 | Public Policy Polling | 537 | - | 45 | 51 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 Jul 2024 | New York Times/Siena College | 872 | ± 3.7% | 46 | 48 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 Jul 2024 | New York Times/Siena College | 872 | ± 3.7% | 47 | 48 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 May 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 812 | ± 3.0% | 43 | 50 | 7 | 7 |
| 16 Feb 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 40 | 49 | 11 | 9 |
| 03 Nov 2023 | New York Times/Siena College | 600 | ± 4.6% | 44 | 47 | 9 | 3 |
| 03 Nov 2023 | New York Times/Siena College | 600 | ± 4.6% | 44 | 48 | 8 | 4 |
| Last Day of Field Work |
Source | Sample Size |
Margin of Error |
d biden |
r trump |
others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2024 | SoCal Strategies | 713 | - | 43 | 47 | 10 | 4 |
| 23 Aug 2024 | SoCal Strategies | 800 | - | 41 | 46 | 13 | 5 |
| 21 Jul 2024 | SoCal Strategies | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46 | 50 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 Jul 2024 | Public Policy Polling | 624 | ± 3.8% | 44 | 49 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 Jul 2024 | InsiderAdvantage | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45 | 49 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 Jul 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43 | 48 | 9 | 5 |
| 12 Jul 2024 | Public Policy Polling | 537 | - | 44 | 47 | 9 | 3 |
| 12 Jul 2024 | Rasmussen Reports | 1,041 | ± 3.0% | 44 | 47 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 Jul 2024 | New York Times/Siena College | 872 | ± 3.7% | 44 | 48 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 Jul 2024 | New York Times/Siena College | 872 | ± 3.7% | 45 | 48 | 7 | 3 |
| 05 Jul 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 794 | ± 3.0% | 44 | 51 | 5 | 7 |
| 02 Jul 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43 | 48 | 9 | 5 |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Remington Research Group | 673 | ± 4.0% | 43 | 48 | 9 | 5 |
| 28 Jun 2024 | Cygnal | 800 | ± 3.5% | 44 | 48 | 8 | 4 |
| 19 Jun 2024 | The Bullfinch Group | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45 | 44 | 12 | 1 |
| 18 Jun 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 45 | 47 | 8 | 2 |
| 18 Jun 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 49 | 51 | - | 2 |
| 31 May 2024 | Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | 1,012 | ± 3.1% | 43 | 45 | 12 | 2 |
| 31 May 2024 | Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | 923 | ± 3.1% | 45 | 47 | 8 | 2 |
| 19 May 2024 | KAConsulting | 600 | - | 44 | 44 | 12 | Tie |
| 16 May 2024 | Prime Group | 487 | - | 51 | 49 | - | 2 |
| 13 May 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 812 | ± 3.0% | 46 | 48 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 May 2024 | Cook Political Report/BSG/GS Strategy Group | 730 | ± 3.6% | 45 | 48 | 7 | 3 |
| 09 May 2024 | New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer | 1,023 | ± 3.6% | 44 | 47 | 9 | 3 |
| 09 May 2024 | New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer | 1,023 | ± 3.6% | 45 | 48 | 7 | 3 |
| 30 Apr 2024 | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | 1,398 | ± 3.0% | 45 | 49 | 6 | 4 |
| 29 Apr 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 45 | 47 | 8 | 2 |
| 29 Apr 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 49 | 51 | - | 2 |
| 25 Apr 2024 | CBS News/YouGov | 1,288 | ± 3.1% | 49 | 50 | 1 | 1 |
| 25 Apr 2024 | Muhlenberg College | 417 | ± 6.0% | 41 | 44 | 15 | 3 |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Fox News | 1,141 | ± 3.0% | 48 | 48 | 4 | Tie |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 803 | ± 3.0% | 46 | 47 | 7 | 1 |
| 03 Apr 2024 | The Bullfinch Group | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38 | 44 | 18 | 6 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Franklin & Marshall College | 870 | ± 4.0% | 48 | 38 | 14 | 10 |
| 24 Mar 2024 | Wall Street Journal | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44 | 47 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 Mar 2024 | Echelon Insights | 400 | ± 5.5% | 45 | 49 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 Mar 2024 | CNN/SSRS | 1,132 | ± 3.8% | 46 | 46 | 8 | Tie |
| 13 Mar 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43 | 47 | 10 | 4 |
| 13 Mar 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 48 | 52 | - | 4 |
| 12 Mar 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 807 | ± 3.0% | 45 | 45 | 10 | Tie |
| 11 Mar 2024 | Fox News | 1,149 | ± 3.0% | 47 | 49 | 4 | 2 |
| 07 Mar 2024 | Susquehanna Polling & Research | 450 | ± 4.6% | 50 | 45 | 5 | 5 |
| 20 Feb 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 803 | ± 3.0% | 43 | 49 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 Feb 2024 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43 | 45 | 12 | 2 |
| 08 Feb 2024 | Chism Strategies | 500 | ± 5.0% | 32 | 40 | 28 | 8 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Franklin & Marshall College | 507 | ± 5.0% | 43 | 42 | 15 | 1 |
| 25 Jan 2024 | Public Opinion Strategies | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42 | 48 | 10 | 6 |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 795 | ± 3.0% | 45 | 48 | 7 | 3 |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Susquehanna Polling & Research | 745 | ± 3.7% | 47 | 39 | 14 | 8 |
| 08 Jan 2024 | Quinnipiac University | 1,680 | ± 2.4% | 49 | 46 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 Dec 2023 | The Bullfinch Group | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45 | 45 | 10 | Tie |
| 13 Dec 2023 | Muhlenberg College | 421 | ± 6.0% | 42 | 41 | 17 | 1 |
| 07 Dec 2023 | Change Research/Future Majority | - | - | 40 | 46 | 14 | 6 |
| 06 Dec 2023 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 799 | ± 3.0% | 44 | 46 | 10 | 2 |
| 07 Nov 2023 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 805 | ± 3.0% | 44 | 47 | 9 | 3 |
| 04 Nov 2023 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 43 | 46 | 11 | 3 |
| 04 Nov 2023 | Emerson College | 816 | - | 45 | 49 | 6 | 4 |
| 03 Nov 2023 | New York Times/Siena College | 600 | ± 4.6% | 44 | 48 | 8 | 4 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Franklin & Marshall College | 873 | ± 4.1% | 44 | 42 | 14 | 2 |
| 10 Oct 2023 | Bloomberg/Morning Consult | 807 | ± 3.0% | 45 | 46 | 9 | 1 |
| 09 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 900 | - | 43 | 42 | 15 | 1 |
| 04 Oct 2023 | Emerson College | 430 | ± 4.7% | 36 | 45 | 19 | 9 |
| 02 Oct 2023 | Quinnipiac University | 1,725 | ± 2.4% | 45 | 47 | 8 | 2 |
| 26 Sep 2023 | Public Policy Polling | 673 | ± 3.8% | 48 | 45 | 7 | 3 |
| 28 Jun 2023 | Prime Group | 500 | - | 50 | 50 | - | Tie |
| 28 Jun 2023 | Prime Group | 500 | - | 38 | 43 | 19 | 5 |
| 26 Jun 2023 | Quinnipiac University | 1,584 | ± 2.5% | 46 | 47 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 Apr 2023 | Public Opinion Strategies | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46 | 42 | 12 | 4 |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Franklin & Marshall College | 643 | ± 4.9% | 36 | 35 | 29 | 1 |
| 26 Feb 2023 | Susquehanna Polling & Research | 800 | ± 3.2% | 48 | 41 | 11 | 7 |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Targoz Market Research | 631 | ± 3.8% | 46 | 52 | 2 | 6 |
| 31 Oct 2022 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 44 | 44 | 12 | Tie |
| 26 Sep 2022 | Emerson College | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 45 | 46 | 9 | 1 |
| 07 Sep 2022 | Echelon Insights | 828 | ± 3.5% | 48 | 43 | 9 | 5 |
| 23 Aug 2022 | Emerson College | 1,034 | ± 3.0% | 42 | 47 | 11 | 5 |