This page contains information on the Republican battleground. The page has two main sections - Targets and Defence. Target states are states which the Republican Party need to win (ordered from easiest to most difficult). Defence states are states which the Republican Party currently hold and need to keep.
Here are the calculated target swing states for the Republican Party in 2028:
Starting Electoral Votes: 312
| Rank | State | Name | Majority Over R | Majority % | Swing Needed | EV | EV (sum) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | NH | New Hampshire | 22,965 | 2.78% | 1.39% | 4 | 316 | |
| 2. | MN | Minnesota | 137,947 | 4.24% | 2.12% | 10 | 326 | |
| 3. | NE | Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District | 14,636 | 4.59% | 2.30% | 1 | 327 | |
| 4. | VA | Virginia | 259,681 | 5.77% | 2.88% | 13 | 340 | |
| 5. | NJ | New Jersey | 252,498 | 5.91% | 2.95% | 14 | 354 | |
| 6. | NM | New Mexico | 55,411 | 6.00% | 3.00% | 5 | 359 | |
| 7. | ME | Maine | 57,675 | 6.94% | 3.47% | 2 | 361 | |
| 8. | IL | Illinois | 613,784 | 10.90% | 5.45% | 19 | 380 | |
| 9. | CO | Colorado | 350,718 | 10.98% | 5.49% | 10 | 390 | |
| 10. | NY | New York | 1,040,296 | 12.59% | 6.30% | 28 | 418 | |
| 11. | RI | Rhode Island | 70,750 | 13.78% | 6.89% | 4 | 422 | |
| 12. | OR | Oregon | 321,120 | 14.31% | 7.15% | 8 | 430 | |
| 13. | CT | Connecticut | 255,135 | 14.50% | 7.25% | 7 | 437 | |
| 14. | DE | Delaware | 75,407 | 14.70% | 7.35% | 3 | 440 | |
| 15. | WA | Washington | 714,926 | 18.22% | 9.11% | 12 | 452 | |
| 16. | CA | California | 3,194,482 | 20.13% | 10.07% | 54 | 506 | |
| 17. | ME | Maine's 1st Congressional District | 93,649 | 21.59% | 10.80% | 1 | 507 | |
| 18. | HI | Hawaii | 119,383 | 23.10% | 11.55% | 4 | 511 | |
| 19. | MA | Massachusetts | 875,215 | 25.20% | 12.60% | 11 | 522 | |
| 20. | MD | Maryland | 867,027 | 28.54% | 14.27% | 10 | 532 | |
| 21. | VT | Vermont | 116,396 | 31.51% | 15.75% | 3 | 535 | |
| 22. | DC | District of Columbia | 273,109 | 83.81% | 41.90% | 3 | 538 |
Here are the currently held Republican states:
Starting Electoral Votes: 312
| Rank | State | Name | Majority | % Majority | Swing To Defeat | EV | EV (sum) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | WI | Wisconsin | 29,397 | 0.86% | 0.43% | 10 | 302 | |
| 2. | MI | Michigan | 80,103 | 1.41% | 0.71% | 15 | 287 | |
| 3. | PA | Pennsylvania | 120,266 | 1.70% | 0.85% | 19 | 268 | |
| 4. | GA | Georgia | 115,100 | 2.19% | 1.10% | 16 | 252 | |
| 5. | NV | Nevada | 46,008 | 3.10% | 1.55% | 6 | 246 | |
| 6. | NC | North Carolina | 183,048 | 3.21% | 1.61% | 16 | 230 | |
| 7. | AZ | Arizona | 187,382 | 5.53% | 2.76% | 11 | 219 | |
| 8. | ME | Maine's 2nd Congressional District | 35,974 | 9.05% | 4.52% | 1 | 218 | |
| 9. | OH | Ohio | 646,417 | 11.21% | 5.60% | 17 | 201 | |
| 10. | NE | Nebraska's 1st Congressional District | 41,513 | 12.96% | 6.48% | 1 | 200 | |
| 11. | FL | Florida | 1,427,087 | 13.10% | 6.55% | 30 | 170 | |
| 12. | AK | Alaska | 44,432 | 13.14% | 6.57% | 3 | 167 | |
| 13. | IA | Iowa | 219,741 | 13.21% | 6.60% | 6 | 161 | |
| 14. | TX | Texas | 1,558,347 | 13.68% | 6.84% | 40 | 121 | |
| 15. | KS | Kansas | 213,949 | 16.12% | 8.06% | 6 | 115 | |
| 16. | SC | South Carolina | 455,295 | 17.87% | 8.93% | 9 | 106 | |
| 17. | MO | Missouri | 551,387 | 18.41% | 9.20% | 10 | 96 | |
| 18. | IN | Indiana | 556,744 | 18.96% | 9.48% | 11 | 85 | |
| 19. | MT | Montana | 120,173 | 19.93% | 9.96% | 4 | 81 | |
| 20. | NE | Nebraska | 194,821 | 20.46% | 10.23% | 2 | 79 | |
| 21. | UT | Utah | 321,252 | 21.58% | 10.79% | 6 | 73 | |
| 22. | LA | Louisiana | 441,635 | 22.01% | 11.00% | 8 | 65 | |
| 23. | MS | Mississippi | 281,076 | 22.89% | 11.44% | 6 | 59 | |
| 24. | SD | South Dakota | 125,222 | 29.19% | 14.60% | 3 | 56 | |
| 25. | TN | Tennessee | 910,600 | 29.72% | 14.86% | 11 | 45 | |
| 26. | AL | Alabama | 690,204 | 30.47% | 15.24% | 9 | 36 | |
| 27. | KY | Kentucky | 633,451 | 30.53% | 15.27% | 8 | 28 | |
| 28. | AR | Arkansas | 362,336 | 30.64% | 15.32% | 6 | 22 | |
| 29. | OK | Oklahoma | 536,614 | 34.26% | 17.13% | 7 | 15 | |
| 30. | ND | North Dakota | 134,178 | 36.45% | 18.22% | 3 | 12 | |
| 31. | ID | Idaho | 330,274 | 36.49% | 18.25% | 4 | 8 | |
| 32. | WV | West Virginia | 319,247 | 41.86% | 20.93% | 4 | 4 | |
| 33. | WY | Wyoming | 123,106 | 45.76% | 22.88% | 3 | 1 | |
| 34. | NE | Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District | 167,944 | 53.60% | 26.80% | 1 | 0 |